Where Will Nvidia Stock Be in 10 Years?

Perhaps the most worrisome competition, though, could come from major technological breakthroughs by rivals. Nvidia’s Huang caused quantum computing stocks to plunge recently with his comments that practical quantum computers are probably 15 to 30 years away. That could be wishful thinking. I can envision a scenario where another company develops a quantum computer that’s more powerful for training and deploying AI models than Nvidia’s GPUs.

As successful as it is (and I think will continue to be), Nvidia isn’t immune to macroeconomic factors. If the global economy enters into a deep, prolonged recession, the chipmaker might not grow nearly as much as I expect it will.

I’d also be remiss without acknowledging that my optimism about the future of AI could be too pie in the sky. Maybe large language models (LLMs) could hit a performance plateau, with no better technologies emerging.

So far, I’ve only addressed where I think Nvidia’s business will be in 2035. But the multitrillion-dollar question is: Where will Nvidia stock be in 10 years?

Before I attempt to answer this question, I’ll tell you what I don’t think will happen. Over the last 10 years, Nvidia’s share price has skyrocketed nearly 285 times higher. I don’t see the stock delivering anywhere near that kind of return over the next decade.

However, as mentioned, I foresee major growth opportunities for Nvidia over the next 10 years in AI, robotaxis, and AR/VR. Could Nvidia’s compound annual growth rate (CAGR) be at least 15% during this period? I think it’s possible. If we assume a 15% CAGR, the stock would be a four-bagger by 2035, with a market cap of over $18 trillion.

Admittedly, this prediction could be way too optimistic. But even if Nvidia delivers a much lower CAGR of 8%, its stock would more than double over the next decade and give the company a market cap of more than $11 trillion. Unless an unforeseen threat emerges that takes the wind out of Nvidia’s sails, the GPU maker’s future appears to be very bright.

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Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Keith Speights has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Where Will Nvidia Stock Be in 10 Years? was originally published by The Motley Fool