No Surprises In Skyworks Solutions’s (NASDAQ:SWKS) Q4 Sales Numbers, Provides Optimistic Revenue Guidance for Next Quarter

Wireless chips maker Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ: SWKS) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2024, but sales fell by 11.1% year on year to $1.07 billion. The company expects next quarter’s revenue to be around $950 billion, coming in 100,716% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.60 per share was 1.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Skyworks Solutions? Find out in our full research report.

• Revenue: $1.07 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.07 billion (11.1% year-on-year decline, in line)

• Adjusted EPS: $1.60 vs analyst estimates of $1.57 (1.7% beat)

• Adjusted Operating Income: $284.8 million vs analyst estimates of $283.4 million (26.7% margin, in line)

• Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2025 is $950 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $942.3 million

• Adjusted EPS guidance for Q1 CY2025 is $1.20 at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.19

• Operating Margin: 16.9%, down from 21.5% in the same quarter last year

• Free Cash Flow Margin: 31.7%, down from 62.6% in the same quarter last year

• Inventory Days Outstanding: 102, down from 120 in the previous quarter

• Market Capitalization: $13.81 billion

“Skyworks started the new fiscal year with solid results, growing revenue 4% sequentially and surpassing the midpoint of our guidance,” said Liam K. Griffin, chief executive officer and president of Skyworks.

Result of a merger of Alpha Industries and the wireless communications division of Conexant, Skyworks Solutions (NASDAQ: SWKS) is a designer and manufacturer of chips used in smartphones, autos, and industrial applications to amplify, filter, and process wireless signals.

Demand for analog chips is generally linked to the overall level of economic growth, as analog chips serve as the building blocks of most electronic goods and equipment. Unlike digital chip designers, analog chip makers tend to produce the majority of their own chips, as analog chip production does not require expensive leading edge nodes. Less dependent on major secular growth drivers, analog product cycles are much longer, often 5-7 years.

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Unfortunately, Skyworks Solutions’s 4.1% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was sluggish. This fell short of our benchmark for the semiconductor sector and is a tough starting point for our analysis. Semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and long-term investors should be prepared for periods of high growth followed by periods of revenue contractions.

Story Continues

Long-term growth is the most important, but short-term results matter for semiconductors because the rapid pace of technological innovation (Moore’s Law) could make yesterday’s hit product obsolete today. Skyworks Solutions’s history shows it grew in the past but relinquished its gains over the last two years, as its revenue fell by 12.7% annually.

This quarter, Skyworks Solutions reported a rather uninspiring 11.1% year-on-year revenue decline to $1.07 billion of revenue, in line with Wall Street’s estimates. Company management is currently guiding for a 90,722% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months. Although this projection implies its newer products and services will catalyze better top-line performance, it is still below average for the sector.

Today’s young investors likely haven’t read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.

Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) is an important metric for chipmakers, as it reflects a business’ capital intensity and the cyclical nature of semiconductor supply and demand. In a tight supply environment, inventories tend to be stable, allowing chipmakers to exert pricing power. Steadily increasing DIO can be a warning sign that demand is weak, and if inventories continue to rise, the company may have to downsize production.

This quarter, Skyworks Solutions’s DIO came in at 102, which is 34 days below its five-year average. At the moment, these numbers show no indication of an excessive inventory buildup.

Despite in line revenue, we liked seeing Skyworks Solutions’s strong improvement in inventory levels. We were also glad its revenue guidance for next quarter came in much higher than Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, we think this was still a solid quarter with some key areas of upside. The stock remained flat at $87.50 immediately after reporting.

Skyworks Solutions may have had a good quarter, but does that mean you should invest right now? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.